Bullshit.

President Bush said in an ABC interview with Diane Sawyer that "I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees." [link] This is the same President who proudly told Tim Russert that he doesn't read newspapers.

That's a shame, because if he had read the Times-Picayune a while back, he'd have seen that that exact scenario had been anticipated:

"Another scenario is that some part of the levee would fail," [Jospeh] Suhayda [a Louisiana State University engineer who is studying ways to limit hurricane damage in the New Orleans area] said. "It's not something that's expected. But erosion occurs, and as levees broke, the break will get wider and wider. The water will flow through the city and stop only when it reaches the next higher thing. The most continuous barrier is the south levee, along the river. That's 25 feet high, so you'll see the water pile up on the river levee." [link]

Actually, it's a shame that the President and FEMA Director Michael Brown didn't read the entire five-part series, since it was strikingly prescient. Turns out that a lot of things that actually came to pass were not only "anticipated", but spelled out explicitly. Here are some excerpts that could have been written this week:

Amid this maelstrom, the estimated 200,000 or more people left behind in an evacuation will be struggling to survive. Some will be housed at the Superdome, the designated shelter in New Orleans for people too sick or infirm to leave the city. Others will end up in last-minute emergency refuges that will offer minimal safety. But many will simply be on their own, in homes or looking for high ground.

Thousands will drown while trapped in homes or cars by rising water. Others will be washed away or crushed by debris. Survivors will end up trapped on roofs, in buildings or on high ground surrounded by water, with no means of escape and little food or fresh water, perhaps for several days.

...

Stranded survivors will have a dangerous wait even after the storm passes. Emergency officials worry that energized electrical wires could pose a threat of electrocution and that the floodwater could become contaminated with sewage and with toxic chemicals from industrial plants and backyard sheds. Gasoline, diesel fuel and oil leaking from underground storage tanks at service stations may also become a problem, corps officials say.

A variety of creatures -- rats, mice and nutria, poisonous snakes and alligators, fire ants, mosquitoes and abandoned cats and dogs -- will be searching for the same dry accommodations that people are using.

Contaminated food or water used for bathing, drinking and cooking could cause illnesses including salmonella, botulism, typhoid and hepatitis. Outbreaks of mosquito-borne dengue fever and encephalitis are likely, said Dr. James Diaz, director of the department of public health and preventive medicine at LSU School of Medicine in New Orleans.

...

New Orleans would face the future with most of its housing stock and historic structures destroyed. Hotels, office buildings and infrastructure would be heavily damaged. Tens of thousands of people would be dead and many survivors homeless and shellshocked. Rebuilding would be a formidable challenge even with a generous federal aid package.

...

A large population of low-income residents do not own cars and would have to depend on an untested emergency public transportation system to evacuate them.

...

"I don’t have a question about the fact that a lot of people are not going to leave, not just the 100,000 who don’t have private transportation," said Terry Tullier, acting director of New Orleans’ Office of Emergency Preparedness. "We think we’re going to do our people a terrible disservice if we don’t tell them the truth. And the truth is that when it happens, a lot of people are going to die."

Those who remain should not expect to find safe shelter, officials say. Few buildings in the area can withstand the forces of a Category 4 or 5 hurricane. "We don’t have structures that can handle wind and water at those velocities and at that water height," Maestri said.

...

In an evacuation, buses would be dispatched along their regular routes throughout the city to pick up people and go to the Superdome, which would be used as a staging area. From there, people would be taken out of the city to shelters to the north.

Some experts familiar with the plans say they won’t work.

"That’s never going to happen because there’s not enough buses in the city," said Charley Ireland, who retired as deputy director of the New Orleans Office of Emergency Preparedness in 2000. "Between the RTA and the school buses, you’ve got maybe 500 buses, and they hold maybe 40 people each. It ain’t going to happen."

...

A similar plan in Monroe County, Fla. -- the Florida Keys -- failed during Georges when drivers opted out. "The problem is that we may have the buses but we don’t have the drivers," said Irene Toner, director of the county’s emergency management office. "In Hurricane Georges we had 25 people on our bus-driver list and only five showed up." [link to the series]

"I don't think anybody could have anticipated the breach in the levees"? Respectfully, Mr. President, that's bullshit. You just didn't want to listen.